油价又要迎来变动。距离国内成品油2026年第17轮调价窗口8月28日24时还有7天，当前本轮计价周期已经过半，受国际原油价格持续走高影响，油价上调预期不断放大，新一轮油价大涨概率较大。

Oil prices are set to undergo another fluctuation. There are still 7 days until the 17th domestic refined oil price adjustment cycle on August 28 at 24:00. Currently, this current pricing cycle has already passed half. Affected by the continuous rise in international crude oil prices, the expectation of an oil price increase is continuously expanding, and the probability of a significant increase in oil prices in the next round is relatively high.

回顾上一轮调价，8月14日24时，第16轮成品油调价如期落地，油价迎来下调。汽、柴油每吨分别下调230元、220元，折算后92号汽油每升下降0.18元，95号汽油、0号柴油每升下降0.19元。按50升家用油箱测算，加满一箱92号汽油大约可节省9元，不少车主趁降价完成加油，92号汽油短暂回落至7元区间，江西当前92号汽油零售价为7.74元/升。

Looking back at the previous price adjustment, on August 14th at 24:00, the 16th round of oil price adjustment was carried out as scheduled, and the oil prices saw a decrease. The price of gasoline and diesel was reduced by 230 yuan per ton and 220 yuan per ton respectively. After conversion, the price of 92-octane gasoline per liter decreased by 0.18 yuan, and the price of 95-octane gasoline and 0-degree diesel per liter decreased by 0.19 yuan. Based on a 50-liter household fuel tank, filling up a tank of 92-octane gasoline would save approximately 9 yuan. Many car owners took advantage of the price drop to complete their refueling. The price of 92-octane gasoline briefly dropped to the 7-yuan range. Currently, the retail price of 92-octane gasoline in Jiangxi is 7.74 yuan per liter.

8月17日本轮计价周期正式开启，国际原油开启连续上涨行情。周期之初，监测机构金联创预估油价上调约190元/吨，折合每升上涨约0.15元。此后连续四个工作日，预估涨幅持续扩大，涨幅近乎翻倍。截至8月21日，金联创测算预计上调幅度达到370元/吨。如果维持当前涨幅，调价落地后，国内多地92号汽油将重回8元关口。

On August 17th, the current pricing cycle officially began, and international crude oil entered a continuous upward trend. At the beginning of the cycle, the monitoring agency Jinlian Chuang estimated that the oil price would increase by approximately 190 yuan per ton, equivalent to an increase of about 0.15 yuan per liter. In the following four working days, the estimated increase continued to expand, nearly doubling. As of August 21st, Jinlian Chuang calculated that the expected increase reached 370 yuan per ton. If the current increase rate is maintained, after the price adjustment takes effect, 92-octane gasoline in many regions of China will return to the 8-yuan mark.

业内人士表示，距离调价窗口还有数个工作日，国际原油价格仍存在波动，最终调价幅度以国家发展改革委正式公布为准。

Industry insiders said that there are still several working days until the price adjustment window, and the international crude oil prices are still subject to fluctuations. The final adjustment amount will be determined by the official announcement of the National Development and Reform Commission.