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摘要:去年全球能源需求增长较慢,尽管经济和地缘政治背景复杂,但电力使用持续强劲增长
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去年全球能源需求增长较慢,尽管经济和地缘政治背景复杂,但电力使用持续强劲增长,最新国际能源署分析显示Last year, global energy demand grew at a slower pace. Despite the complex economic and geopolitical backdrop, electricity usage continued to grow strongly. The latest analysis by the International Energy Agency shows 2025年全球能源需求增长速度较去年放缓,但电力消费仍远快于整体需求增长——根据IEA最新报告,太阳能光伏首次成为全球能源供应增长的最大贡献者。 In 2025, the growth rate of global energy demand will slow down compared to last year, but electricity consumption will still grow much faster than the overall demand growth. According to the latest report by the IEA, solar photovoltaic has become the largest contributor to the growth of global energy supply for the first time. 今日发布的最新一期《国际能源署全球能源回顾》对2025年能源行业的全球趋势进行了全面评估。基于最新数据,涵盖能源需求、发电与使用、能源技术部署以及能源相关的二氧化碳(CO2)排放。 The latest issue of the "IEA Global Energy Review" released today conducts a comprehensive assessment of the global trends in the energy industry for 2025. Based on the latest data, it covers energy demand, power generation and usage, energy technology deployment, as well as energy-related carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. 报告显示,2025年全球能源需求增长放缓至1.3%,略低于前十年平均值1.4%,且明显低于2024年。造成经济放缓的主要原因是全球经济增长放缓、某些地区极端气温减缓以及更高效技术的快速普及。 The report indicates that global energy demand growth will slow down to 1.3% in 2025, slightly lower than the average of 1.4% over the previous decade and significantly lower than that in 2024. The main reasons for the economic slowdown are the global economic growth slowdown, the reduction in extreme temperatures in certain regions, and the rapid spread of more efficient technologies. 与此同时,全球电力需求增长了约3%,远超整体能源需求增长率的两倍多。尽管电力需求增长低于2024年,反映了印度和东南亚冷气需求较低、热浪较轻等因素,但仍高于过去十年的平均水平。电力需求的增长由建筑和工业的多个行业推动,同时也得益于电动汽车和数据中心的快速增长需求。 Meanwhile, global electricity demand increased by approximately 3%, far exceeding the growth rate of overall energy demand by more than twice. Although the growth in electricity demand was lower than that in 2024, reflecting factors such as lower air conditioning demand in India and Southeast Asia and milder heatwaves, it still exceeded the average level of the past decade. The growth in electricity demand was driven by multiple industries in construction and industry, and was also facilitated by the rapid growth in demand for electric vehicles and data centers. 所有主要燃料和技术都为满足不断增长的需求而扩展,但速度大不相同。太阳能光伏是2025年全球能源供应增长的最大单一贡献者,占增长增长的25%以上——这是有记录以来现代可再生能源首次引领全球初级能源供应增长。天然气占据其次,占17%,反映了其在许多国家发电中的作用。总体来看,可再生能源和核能满足了近60%的能源需求增长——而这些能源的发电量超过了电力需求的总增长。 All major fuels and technologies have expanded to meet the growing demand, but at different rates. Solar photovoltaic is the largest single contributor to the global energy supply growth in 2025, accounting for more than 25% of the growth - this is the first time in recorded history that modern renewable energy has led the global primary energy supply growth. Natural gas follows, accounting for 17%, reflecting its role in power generation in many countries. Overall, renewable energy and nuclear power have met nearly 60% of the energy demand growth - and the power generation of these energy sources exceeds the total growth in electricity demand. 全球石油需求上涨0.7%,与国际能源署的预测一致。这反映了电动汽车的持续增长,限制了对道路燃料的需求。2025年电动汽车销量增长超过20%,达到超过2000万辆,约占全球新车销量的四分之一。中国可再生能源的强劲增长减少了煤炭在发电中的使用,而美国煤炭需求则随着高昂的天然气价格推动了电力生产中的天然气转燃煤的转变而增加。总体来看,2025年煤炭需求增长速度放缓。 Global oil demand rose by 0.7%, in line with the prediction of the International Energy Agency. This reflects the continuous growth of electric vehicles, which has limited the demand for road fuel. In 2025, the sales of electric vehicles increased by more than 20%, reaching over 20 million units, accounting for approximately one quarter of global new vehicle sales. The strong growth of renewable energy in China has reduced the use of coal in power generation, while in the United States, coal demand has increased as the high price of natural gas has driven the shift from coal to natural gas in power production. Overall, the growth rate of coal demand slowed down in 2025. “2025年全球能源需求在复杂的经济和地缘政治背景下持续增长,其中一个趋势显而易见:经济电气化的扩展,”IEA执行董事法提赫·比罗尔表示。电力消耗增长速度远快于整体能源需求——而且有一种能源来源的增长速度远超其他任何能源。太阳能光伏占全球能源需求增长的四分之一以上——首次超过任何其他能源来源——紧随其后的是天然气。在当今快速变化的环境下,优先考虑韧性和多元化的国家将最有利于管理波动,并在未来几年内提供安全且负担得起的能源。” "By 2025, global energy demand will continue to grow in a complex economic and geopolitical context. One clear trend is the expansion of economic electrification," said Fatih Birol, Executive Director of the IEA. The growth rate of electricity consumption is much faster than that of overall energy demand - and there is one energy source whose growth rate exceeds that of any other. Solar photovoltaic accounts for more than a quarter of the global energy demand growth - surpassing any other energy source for the first time - followed by natural gas. In the current rapidly changing environment, countries that prioritize resilience and diversity will be best positioned to manage fluctuations and provide secure and affordable energy in the coming years." 在全球总量之下,主要经济体的趋势出现了明显分歧。美国能源需求增长升至本世纪第二高水平——不包括经济衰退后复苏年份——这得益于数据中心强劲的电力需求、强劲的工业活动以及冬季气温下降。与此同时,去年中国在全球能源需求增长中占最大份额,但随着可再生能源取代效率较低的煤炭,其增长率急剧下降至1.7%,且更广泛的能源效率提升增强。 Among the global total, the trends of major economies have shown significant differences. The growth in energy demand in the United States has reached the second-highest level this century - excluding the recovery years after the economic downturn - thanks to the strong electricity demand from data centers, strong industrial activities, and the drop in winter temperatures. Meanwhile, China accounted for the largest share of global energy demand growth last year, but as renewable energy replaced less efficient coal, its growth rate dropped sharply to 1.7%, and broader energy efficiency improvements were enhanced. 与此同时,2025年全球能源相关二氧化碳排放增长放缓,上升约0.4%。报告称,中国2025年排放量下降,得益于可再生能源和其他低排放技术的激增。印度能源相关二氧化碳排放首次自1970年代以来持平(不包括新冠疫情),异常强烈的季风季节在抑制排放增长方面起到了重要作用。相比之下,发达经济体中一个特别寒冷的冬季推动了化石燃料的使用和排放。综合来看,发达经济体的排放增长速度(+0.5%)首次超过新兴和发展中国家(+0.3%),这是自1990年代以来首次。 Meanwhile, global energy-related carbon dioxide emissions growth slowed down in 2025, increasing by approximately 0.4%. The report states that China's emissions decreased in 2025, thanks to the surge in renewable energy and other low-emission technologies. India's energy-related carbon dioxide emissions remained unchanged since the 1970s (excluding the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic), and the exceptionally strong monsoon season played a significant role in curbing the growth of emissions. In contrast, a particularly cold winter in developed economies led to an increase in the use of fossil fuels and emissions. Overall, the growth rate of emissions in developed economies (+0.5%) exceeded that of emerging and developing countries (+0.3%), which was the first time since the 1990s. 在电力领域,2025年全球新增600太瓦时的太阳能光伏发电量,创下了任何发电技术单年结构性增长的最大纪录,导致全球燃煤发电量下降。电池储能是2025年增长最快的电力行业技术。当年新增约110吉瓦电池储能容量,超过了天然气有史以来最大年容量新增量。与此同时,2025年启动了超过12吉瓦的核电反应堆建设,多个地区核能项目的动力重新燃起。 In the field of electricity, in 2025, the global solar photovoltaic power generation capacity increased by 600 terawatt-hours, setting the record for the largest single-year structural growth of any power generation technology. This led to a decline in global coal-fired power generation. Battery storage was the fastest-growing technology in the electricity industry in 2025. Approximately 110 gigawatts of battery storage capacity was added that year, exceeding the largest annual capacity increase in natural gas ever. At the same time, more than 12 gigawatts of nuclear power reactors were initiated for construction in 2025, and the momentum of nuclear energy projects in multiple regions was reignited. 自2019年以来,低排放技术的累积部署已避免了相当于拉丁美洲全部能源需求的年度化石燃料消耗。总体来看,太阳能光伏、风能和热泵等技术的使用,已取代相当于全球液化天然气年度出口总额一半的天然气需求。 Since 2019, the cumulative deployment of low-emission technologies has prevented annual fossil fuel consumption equivalent to Latin America's total energy demand. Overall, the use of technologies such as solar photovoltaics, wind power, and heat pumps has displaced natural gas demand equivalent to half of the global annual liquefied natural gas export total. |
















